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            rank their biggest concerns in
            terms of likelihood and impact and
            78% said they expect “economic
            confrontations” and “domestic
            political polarisation” to rise in 2020.
            This would prove catastrophic,
            particularly for addressing urgent
            challenges like the climate crisis,
            biodiversity loss and record species
            decline. The report, produced in
            partnership with Marsh & McLennan
            and Zurich Insurance Group, points
            to a need for policy-makers to match
            targets for protecting the Earth with
            ones for boosting economies – and
            for companies to avoid the risks of
            potentially disastrous future losses
            by adjusting to science-based
            targets.
            For the first time in the survey’s
            10-year outlook, the top five global
            risks in terms of likelihood are all
            environmental. The report sounds   challenges. This signals where   Systems-level thinking  is required
                                                                                                  1
            the alarm on:
                                              action by business and policy-   to confront looming geopolitical and
            1.  Extreme weather events with   makers is most needed.           environmental risks, and threats that
                major damage to property,                                      may otherwise fall under the radar.
                                              “The political landscape is polarized,   This year’s report focuses explicitly
                infrastructure and loss of
                                              sea levels are rising and climate   on impacts from rising inequality,
                human life.
                                              fires are burning. This is the year   gaps in technology governance, and
            2.  Failure of climate-change     when world leaders must work     health systems under pressure.
                mitigation and adaptation by   with all sectors of society to repair
                governments and businesses.   and reinvigorate our systems of   John Drzik, Chairman of Marsh &
                                                                               McLennan Insights, said: “There is
                                              cooperation, not just for short-term
            3.  Human-made environmental                                       mounting pressure on companies
                                              benefit but for tackling our deep-
                damage and disasters,                                          from investors, regulators,
                including environmental       rooted risks,” said Borge Brende,   customers, and employees to
                crime, such as oil spills, and   President of the World Economic   demonstrate their resilience to rising
                radioactive contamination.    Forum.                           climate volatility. Scientific advances
                                                                               mean that climate risks can now be
            4.  Major biodiversity loss       The Global Risks Report is part of   modelled with greater accuracy and
                and ecosystem collapse        the Global Risks Initiative which   incorporated into risk management
                (terrestrial or marine) with   brings stakeholders together to   and business plans. High profile
                irreversible consequences for   develop sustainable, integrated   events, like recent wildfires in
                the environment, resulting in   solutions to the world’s most   Australia and California, are adding
                severely depleted resources   pressing challenges.             pressure on companies to take
                for humankind as well as
                industries.
                                                Severe threats to our climate account for all of the Global Risks
            5.  Major natural disasters such
                                                Report’s top long-term risks
                as earthquakes, tsunamis,
                volcanic eruptions, and
                                                •   Significant short-term risks in 2020 are “economic
                geomagnetic storms.
                                                    confrontations” and “domestic political polarisation”
            It adds that unless stakeholders
                                                •   Geopolitical turbulence and the retreat from multilateralism
            adapt to “today’s epochal power-
                                                    threatens everyone’s ability to tackle shared, critical global risks
            shift” and geopolitical turbulence
            – while still preparing for the future   •  Without urgent attention to repairing societal divisions
            – time will run out to address some     and driving sustainable economic growth, leaders cannot
            of the most pressing economic,          systemically address threats like the climate or biodiversity
            environmental and technological         crises, the report warns

             www.MiddleEast-Business.com                                             7  year, Issue 26, Mar - May 2020
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